RBA unlikely to begin to normalise interest rates this year unless unemployment begins to fall sharply soon.
Strong focus on the implications of the beginning of normalisation of rates by the Bank of Canada.
Any budget has inherent conflicts and trade-offs in it, for example, between the short-term macro needs of the economy and the desired medium-term fiscal policy settings; and between the myriad of policy, social, intergenerational and political aspects of any policy changes.
The 2017-18 Federal Budget will be handed down at 7.30pm on Tuesday 9th May. This week will likely see further budget measures revealed in the press as has become practice in recent years.
With house prices rising, vacancy rates declining and a previous drop in building approvals, it’s likely that residential construction activity should begin to strengthen.
What can the history of Australian monetary policy tell us about the current monetary policy debate?
The Australian budget in the first six months of this financial year is tracking a little higher, but not significantly worse than recent budget forecasts
Fed pressure index signalling upside risks for US inflation and interest rates?
While we are receiving many questions about the impact of President Trump’s policies on the outlook for the US and global economies and markets, the most frequent question we are being asked about Australia is “why is NAB forecasting two interest rate cuts in 2017” (in May and August)?
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