The bigger picture – A global and Australian economic perspective.

Confidence and conditions continue to ease

In USD terms, NAB’s Non-Rural Commodity Price Index is forecast to increase by 2.7% this quarter – driven almost entirely by the upturn in iron ore prices.

Business conditions saw a moderate rebound in January after falling sharply in December.

Business conditions continued to ease in Q4 and while they remain above average, forward looking indicators point to potential further weakness.

Consumer anxiety reaches its highest level in over 3 years as slow income growth, high debt levels and weaker growth in household wealth weighed on households and their spending.

New research shows what Australians fear most for our nation’s future.

The AUD/USD traded in a larger than usual range in January.

Conditions end the year on a concerning low.

China’s economy continues to soften, but our outlook is unchanged.

December witnessed the widest AUD/USD monthly range of the year (3.77 cents).

Economic growth is likely to equal its post-GFC high in 2018.

Turning 40: Charting the rise of China since reform and opening up

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