NAB expects follow up hike in February 2024
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NAB expects follow up hike in February 2024
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The latest major bank profit reporting/trading updates suggesting households so far by and large are managing the transition to higher interest rates.
RBA on hold for now but one more rise still likely
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Cash rate likely to hit 4.6% as narrow path sinks
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Cash rate likely to pass 4% in the coming months
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The cash rate at a peak, but upside risks remain
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Line-ball April meeting to take rates to 3.85% peak
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Three further hikes to come, cash rate to hit 4.1%
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Series of 25bp rises ahead; peak rate of 3.6%
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50BP rate rise now likely in Oct; 3.10% cash rate by end-22
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NAB now expects rates to reach 2.85% by year-end.
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NAB now expects rates to reach 2.35% by year-end.
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RBA rushing to neutral, rates to reach 2.10% by year-end.
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Strong CPI to bring forward first rate increase to May.
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RBA to hike rates in June, July, August and November, followed by a more gradual path through 2023 and 2024.
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NAB now sees the first rate hike coming in August; Gradual normalisation to follow through in 2023 and 2024.
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RBA to hike in November, QE to end in February as expected.
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NAB brings forward rate rise timing to mid-2023; YCC to end in November given the RBA's lack of commitment; QE to end in February.
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NAB re-affirms its 2024 rate call and expects economic activity to rebound strongly as restrictions are eased.
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While Sydney and Melbourne remain a key risk to the outlook, NAB re-affirms its 2024 rate call.
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Re-Affirming our rate view and an update on the outlook for QE.
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YCC to end at Apr-24 and QE to be tapered to $75bn.
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QE to continue, RBA to grapple with ending YCC.
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RBA cuts rates to 0.1% and announces $100bn worth of QE.
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The RBA continues to signal further monetary easing is likely.
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RBA to soon undertake yield curve control, reinforcing fiscal stimulus.
RBA to cut in March and again in April.
RBA likely to stay on hold in February – with labour market conditions buying time. But cuts are still coming.
Little support from fiscal policy to see further cuts in February and June, with a move to QE in the second half of 2020 a real prospect.
Next RBA cut delayed to February 2020, with the risk of further cuts and QE by mid-2020 without fiscal stimulus.
RBA to cut in October and again in December, taking the cash rate to 0.5% by year's end.
Cash Rate to 0.5% by February; more stimulus by mid 2020 unless the Government steps in.
NAB fine-tunes timing of rate call: RBA to cut in July to 1%
RBA to cut to 0.75% in November.
RBA to cut in June with a risk it eventually cuts below 1%.
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