Business Research & Insights

Cash rate likely to hit 4.6% as narrow path sinks

Cash rate likely to pass 4% in the coming months

The cash rate at a peak, but upside risks remain

Line-ball April meeting to take rates to 3.85% peak

Three further hikes to come, cash rate to hit 4.1%

Series of 25bp rises ahead; peak rate of 3.6%

50BP rate rise now likely in Oct; 3.10% cash rate by end-22

NAB now expects rates to reach 2.85% by year-end.

NAB now expects rates to reach 2.35% by year-end.

RBA rushing to neutral, rates to reach 2.10% by year-end.

Strong CPI to bring forward first rate increase to May.

RBA to hike rates in June, July, August and November, followed by a more gradual path through 2023 and 2024.

NAB now sees the first rate hike coming in August; Gradual normalisation to follow through in 2023 and 2024.

RBA to hike in November, QE to end in February as expected.

NAB brings forward rate rise timing to mid-2023; YCC to end in November given the RBA's lack of commitment; QE to end in February.

NAB re-affirms its 2024 rate call and expects economic activity to rebound strongly as restrictions are eased.

While Sydney and Melbourne remain a key risk to the outlook, NAB re-affirms its 2024 rate call.

Re-Affirming our rate view and an update on the outlook for QE.

YCC to end at Apr-24 and QE to be tapered to $75bn.

QE to continue, RBA to grapple with ending YCC.

RBA cuts rates to 0.1% and announces $100bn worth of QE.

The RBA continues to signal further monetary easing is likely.

RBA to soon undertake yield curve control, reinforcing fiscal stimulus.

RBA to cut in March and again in April.

RBA likely to stay on hold in February – with labour market conditions buying time. But cuts are still coming.

Little support from fiscal policy to see further cuts in February and June, with a move to QE in the second half of 2020 a real prospect.

Next RBA cut delayed to February 2020, with the risk of further cuts and QE by mid-2020 without fiscal stimulus.

RBA to cut in October and again in December, taking the cash rate to 0.5% by year's end.

Cash Rate to 0.5% by February; more stimulus by mid 2020 unless the Government steps in.

NAB fine-tunes timing of rate call: RBA to cut in July to 1%

RBA to cut to 0.75% in November.

RBA to cut in June with a risk it eventually cuts below 1%.