We forecast the global economy to grow by 2.9% in both 2025 and 2026 (previously 2¾% in both years).
Insight
January 21, 2019
US Economic Update – January 2019
Market turbulence to weigh on growth in 2019
- The significant tightening in US financial conditions since October is expected to weigh on US growth over 2019.
- A partial US government shutdown and slowing global growth add to the headwinds.
- While growth may move modestly below trend for a period, recession fears are overblown.
- One consequence is that the Fed is likely to be on hold for the rest of the year.
For further details, please see the attached document.
