We forecast the global economy to grow by 2.9% in both 2025 and 2026 (previously 2¾% in both years).
Insight
Tariff pause gives China’s economy some breathing space, but longer-term uncertainty persists
Insight
We expect NAB’s Non-rural Commodity Price Index to fall by 4.9% in Q2
Insight
Robust growth was maintained in Q1, but China faces the storm of US tariffs
Insight
We have lowered our 2025 and 2026 growth forecasts for a wide range of countries, particularly China and (last week) the US. We now expect global growth of around 2¾% in both years (previously around 3.0%).
Insight
We expect global economic growth to slow from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2025
Insight
China keeps growth target unchanged and rolls out a consumption plan, but will it actually be delivered?
Insight
We expect to see a modest slowing in growth across 2025 to 3.1%
Insight
Global growth eased slightly in 2024 to 3.2% and is likely to slip further in 2025 and 2026.
Insight
RBA revisions, rates and risks ahead
We expect growth in the global economy to remain subdued out to 2026.
Insight
Economic planners flag more stimulus in the pipeline, but there may be a wait on the details
Insight
We expect NAB’s Non-rural Commodity Price Index to move slightly higher in Q4
Insight
We have lifted our global growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 from 3.1 to 3.2%
Insight
Fiscal stimulus likely too late to boost 2024 growth, but may add some upside to 2025 forecasts
Insight
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