July 13, 2012

US Economic Update – July 2012

The recent softness in economic indicators continued over the last month, and now point to GDP growth in the June quarter being slightly weaker than the March quarter’s modest pace. While we still expect GDP growth to strengthen in the second half of the year we have trimmed our growth expectations for 2012 (from 2.2% […]

  • The recent softness in economic indicators continued over the last month, and now point to GDP growth in the June quarter being slightly weaker than the March quarter’s modest pace.
  • While we still expect GDP growth to strengthen in the second half of the year we have trimmed our growth expectations for 2012 (from 2.2% to 2.1%) and 2013 (from 2.9% to 2.7%).
  • While unlikely at the next FOMC meeting (particularly in the form of QE), further unconventional easing measures by the Fed remain a possibility.

For further analysis download the full report.

 

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This month we delve into the data on recent sales event days, the Black Friday to Cyber Monday weekend, and compare this to the traditional peak retail trade four day trading period immediately prior to Christmas day.

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