AUTHORS

Gerard Burg

Gerard Burg

Senior Economist

“He is responsible for monitoring and forecasting trends in emerging Asian economies”

Gerard has over a decade of experience as a professional economist, currently specialising in international economic research. He is responsible for monitoring and forecasting trends in emerging Asian economies, with a particular emphasis on China. He is also a member of the bank’s commodities research team, focusing on trends in iron ore and coal markets.

Gerard joined NAB in 2005, and previously focused on risk analysis across a range of industry sectors in Australia and abroad. He had particular expertise in areas such as Mining, Manufacturing, Healthcare and Retail, including the development of research into online retail sales. Prior to joining NAB, he was an economist with the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics, focusing on commodities and energy research.

He holds Bachelors degrees in Economics (with Honours) and Commerce from the Australian National University.

RECENTLY PUBLISHED ARTICLES

Economic conditions in 2020 are expected to remain unfavourable for commodity markets.

False frenzy – record Single’s Day sales don’t point to Chinese economic recovery.

Most of China’s indicators relatively weak year-on-year, however, the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China at the start of the October has made this harder to gauge.

NAB’s Non-Rural Commodity Price Index is forecast to fall by 7.9% quarter on quarter in Q4 2019.

Trade truce – US and China reach an agreement, but trade outlook still uncertain.

Taking flight: China is changing the global tourism market.

Trade war finally shows its impact on China, as industrial sector drags Q3 growth lower.

NAB’s Non-Rural Commodity Price Index is forecast to fall significantly in Q4 2019.

Pork shortfall to maintain higher inflation in the near term.

India’s economy needs a stimulatory kick start, with no guarantees of recovery.

China’s industrial sector struggling ahead of the latest round of trade measures.

In US dollar terms, NAB’s Non-Rural Commodity Price Index is forecast to increase by 1.8% quarter on quarter in Q3 2019.

China’s economy is continuing to slow, even before the latest round of US tariffs (and China’s retaliation), meaning there’s further downside risk.

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