Gerard Burg

Gerard Burg

Senior Economist

“He is responsible for monitoring and forecasting trends in emerging Asian economies”

Gerard has over a decade of experience as a professional economist, currently specialising in international economic research. He is responsible for monitoring and forecasting trends in emerging Asian economies, with a particular emphasis on China. He is also a member of the bank’s commodities research team, focusing on trends in iron ore and coal markets.

Gerard joined NAB in 2005, and previously focused on risk analysis across a range of industry sectors in Australia and abroad. He had particular expertise in areas such as Mining, Manufacturing, Healthcare and Retail, including the development of research into online retail sales. Prior to joining NAB, he was an economist with the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics, focusing on commodities and energy research.

He holds Bachelors degrees in Economics (with Honours) and Commerce from the Australian National University.


Mixed signals – some risks from China’s incomplete recovery.

Long term pain – could the COVID-19 recovery disrupt SOE reform?

Suppliers are still searching for demand.

Modest Chinese stimulus highlights competing policy objectives.

The latest economic data from China continues to highlight some challenges in its recovery phase.

Export channels offer little opportunity as China attempts to recover.

Shutdown and restart – will China’s consumers return to support growth?

China’s economy sharply contracted in Q1; weakest growth in over forty years in 2020.

Overall, the global economic outlook has deteriorated since last month, with the downturn expected to far exceed the Global Financial Crisis.

Back in business? China attempts to restart its economy after Covid-19 shutdown

Data highlights the huge toll of Coronavirus countermeasures.

Commodity markets generally remain volatile, reflecting the uncertainty presented by the Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak.

Commodity prices have generally retreated in early February in response to the Coronavirus outbreak in China.

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