Below trend growth to continue
NAB’s latest Data Insights highlight a slowdown in consumption spending in recent weeks.
During these extraordinary times we have taken the decision to publish aggregated customer data categorised by industry segment with the view to helping provide clarity around which segments of the economy have been most affected by the broader macroeconomic trends at play. NAB takes data privacy very seriously. All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process. The data used in this report will not be sold or made publicly available, but insights from the data will be shared with the Australian people.
NAB’s latest Data Insights highlight a slowdown in consumption spending in recent weeks, with overall growth easing to 5.8% y/y for the week ended July 18. Spending slowed in all states and territories (except SA/NT). It is now weakest in VIC (-0.7%) with this result heavily influenced by lockdown in metropolitan Melbourne. NSW is also weakening faster than most. Relative to last year, overall spending growth slowed (or fell further) in all industries, but overall growth continues to be supported mainly by spending on Construction and Retail Trade.
Payment inflows across all industries were flat (0.1%) in the 4-weeks to July 18 (4-week average terms). Inflows are still falling heaviest for corporates. By industry, they were down most in Mining, Transport and Hospitality, and were strongest in Agriculture, Manufacturing, Retail Trade and Professional, Scientific & Technical Services.
For further details, please see NAB Data Insights 23 July 2020 Report.
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