October 30, 2012

Oil Market Update – October 2012

Oil prices weaken in October but remain quite high. Attention now shifting towards the Asian economies, which have surprised markets on the downside in recent months. Near-term forecasts lifted on geo-political risk, 2013 forecasts left unchanged.

  • Oil prices weaken in October but remain quite high; Brent held up due to geo-political risk and supply outages, WTI relatively weaker on larger-than expected build up in inventories.
  • Attention now shifting towards the Asian economies, which have surprised markets on the downside in recent months and where demand projections have scope to be lowered in the coming months.
  • Slowdown in Asia evident with IEA and OPEC revising down global growth forecasts through 2013, Chinese apparent demand continues to pull back through late 2012
  • Near-term forecasts lifted on geo-political risk, 2013 forecasts left unchanged.

For further analysis download the full report.

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This month we delve into the data on recent sales event days, the Black Friday to Cyber Monday weekend, and compare this to the traditional peak retail trade four day trading period immediately prior to Christmas day.

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