US Economic Update – September 2018

US economy still strong, but trade concerns won’t go away.

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Overview:

  • The US economy continued to perform strongly in early Q3 2018 – growth is above trend and the unemployment rate is low and falling.
  • With core inflation also returning to target, the Fed will continue to tighten monetary policy at a gradual (quarterly) pace with the next rate hike likely at its September meeting.
  • Trade risks are still a major concern – particularly an escalation in US/China trade barriers and while progress has been made on NAFTA it could still fall over.

 For further details please see the attached document: