We expect global economic growth to slow from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2025


Insight
Any significant change to global supply chains will take time
Various disruptions to global trade in recent years – including the impact of the US-China trade war and the COVID-19 pandemic – have raised questions about how global supply chains will be structured over the longer term, particularly the potential for a shift away from China as a key link in the delivery of goods to advanced economies. While there have been some high-profile examples cited in recent times, any significant realignment of global supply chains will be a slow process (assuming that it does not prove impractical).
For further details, please see the China Economic Update (July 2023)
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