After what has been a solid month for equities and bond investors, month end flows have probably play their part in the price action overnight, US equities have lost momentum, UST have led a rise in core global bond yields and the USD is stronger. US and European inflation releases favoured the notion the Fed and ECB are done with their respective tightening cycles.
NAB Economics Data Insights 10 December 2020
We take a closer look at how selected retail and hospitality spending in the CBDs of Melbourne and Sydney have fared this year.
In this podcast, NAB Chief Economist, Alan Oster gives you a 10 minute summary of our analysis of consumer spending.
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Slower spending growth this week, but still positive. Spending was up 5.7% y/y in the week ending December 5 (8.8% last week), and positive in all states, led by QLD and the NT. Hospitality spend also grew for the fifth consecutive week, after having fallen in each week from March 21 to October 31 (33 weeks straight).
In this edition we take a closer look at how selected retail and hospitality spending in the CBDs of Melbourne and Sydney have fared this year. Unsurprisingly, Melbourne’s CBD has seen big hits to spend this year. While spending in Greater Melbourne and regional Victoria has rapidly recovered, CBD data is much less buoyant, particularly in areas such as hospitality. For example, a year ago, cafes, restaurants & takeaways in the CBD captured 21% of all Greater Melbourne’s spend in this sector. As of last week, it was only 11%. While Sydney avoided much of the second wave, spending in the Sydney CBD is also well down on last year.
Business inflows grew 7.7% in 6 week rolling y/y terms this week, with much of this again driven by Finance (Asset Management). Hospitality still struggling, but Arts & Rec, Retail and Transport (particularly Warehousing) out-performing.
For further details please see NAB Data Insights 10 December 2020 Report