We expect growth in the global economy to remain subdued out to 2026.
Insight
NAB Online Retail Sales Index was flat in month-on-month in April, after a mild contraction in March.
NAB Chief Economist, Alan Oster commented:
NAB Online Retail Sales Index was flat in month-on-month in April, after a mild contraction in March. Both online and overall retail trade appear to have moderated in recent months. Of the categories, takeaway food was flat in month-on-month terms and contracted in year-on-year terms. For the latter metric, this was the first time since April 2019. However, there was relatively strong growth in monthly terms for the grocery and liquor category. While it could be speculated that there is some level of substitution occurring here between the two broad categories, as people opt for home cooking, there were also high profile food delivery services which exited the market during this report period. It is worth noting that our broader spend measure also indicates recent weakness in hospitality, with goods retail flat.
Also noticeable this month was the continued strength in the media category. This category consists of books, magazines and periodicals, news media subscriptions, as well as streaming music and visual content. While we observed similar spending growth behaviour at the height of the pandemic, the drivers are different. This time, the more recent entrants into the streaming service market appear to be driving some of this growth, whereas, during the height of the pandemic, it was more closely correlated with movement restriction, i.e. lockdowns and travel restrictions.
Get all the insights in the NAB Online Retail Sales Index (April 2023)
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