INSIGHTS, TRENDS AND CASE STUDIES

Global growth appears to have remained above average through the first half of 2018, but with our leading indicator pointing to a moderation in coming quarters, we think that this will represent the peak for this cycle.

The Weekly looks in detail at some of the trends in SEEK job ads and what they tell us about the trends in the various state economies.

The Yuan has served to undermine all of the gains in the AUD generated by yesterday’s good employment report.

The global economy remains in reasonable shape right now despite some pressures on Emerging Market economies.

Real GDP figures showed a pick-up in growth to 1.0% in Q1 (from 0.5% in Q4) lifting growth to 3.1% over the year.

If you like a schooner of beer, it’s likely you’ve sipped a brew made with hops from Hop Products Australia. Having weathered this boom-bust industry, and as Australia’s largest hops grower today, the team at HPA is passionate about these little cone-like flowers – and about bringing distinct fresh flavour to every glass.

My ‘whys’ haven’t changed over 25 years at NAB. I’m still driven by the impact economics has on our lives and the importance of delivering independent analysis that helps people and institutions make better decisions.

The change reflects the fact there’s no sign as yet of stronger wages growth and unemployment has been stuck at around 5.5% for the best part of a year. We still expect the economy to strengthen, leading to a declining unemployment rate.

First 25bp increase now expected mid-2019.

Based on responses from the March 2018 Quarterly Business Survey.

After a somewhat disappointing 2017 we continue to expect growth to gain more momentum during 2018 – with GDP increasing by around 3% through the year or 2.8% in year average terms.

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