US Economic Update – November 2018

Initial indicators for Q4 suggest the economy continues to perform strongly towards the end of 2018.

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Overview

  • Initial indicators for Q4 suggest the economy continues to perform strongly towards the end of 2018.
  • The recent large decline in equity prices is a concern, although increases in other measures of financial stress are not yet at worrying levels.
  • As the Fed funds rate moves closer to the Fed’s view of its neutral level, uncertainty around the timing, and extent, of increases in rates is likely to increase.

For further details please see the attached document: