May 30, 2025

Australian GDP Preview Q1 2025

A private sector improvement to support growth

Key points:

  • NAB expects a Q1 GDP print of 0.5% q/q (1.7% y/y).
  • Consumption growth looks to have lost some momentum, but other private sector components will support growth in the quarter.
  • This outcome would be broadly in line with the RBA’s Q1 forecast in the May SoMP.
  • Partials for inventories, trade and public spending will be released early next week which will further firm up the estimate ahead of the release.

Read the full report here: GDP Preview (Q1 2025)