Minerals & Energy Outlook: August 2020
Commodity markets have continued to display differing trends.
Overview
- Commodity markets have continue to display differing trends. Gold markets have surged in recent months, rising to record highs, while iron ore, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and base metals were somewhat stronger. In contrast, coal prices have been relatively stable.
- Global PMI surveys continue to point to a recovery in manufacturing conditions, however there remain some significant risks around the global economy – particularly given second wave COVID-19 outbreaks in a range of regions.
- In annual average terms, US dollar denominated commodity prices (as measured by our non-rural commodity price index) are forecast to fall by around 12.0% –this decline is largely driven by falls in LNG and hard coking coal. Prices for iron ore have risen above our quarterly forecasts, suggesting some upside risk to our overall index. In 2021, our index is forecast to increase by 2.5%.
Find out more in Minerals & Energy Outlook – Aug 2020.
About the Author
NAB’s Group Economics consists of a leading team of economists who provide accurate, timely and relevant updates on domestic, international and industrial economic trends.
Headed up by the Group Chief Economist, Alan Oster, the team is comprised of three distinct departments:
- Australian economics and commodities
- International economics
- Industry economics
The team publish a wealth of content including reports, surveys, forecasts and indexes.
