January 29, 2021
US Economic Update – January 2021
Recovery lost momentum at end of 2020; hope for a better 2021
- GDP grew by 1.0% q/q in Q4 2020, but this headline figure masks a weakening in the economy as high rates of COVID-19 transmission and restrictions on mobility and activity took its toll over November/December.
- The substantial fiscal support passed at the end of 2020, with more expected, as well as the roll-out of vaccines, offers the hope of rapid growth emerging over 2021.
- As a result, we have revised up our 2021 GDP growth forecast to 4.5% (from 3.3%) and our 2022 forecast to 3.9% (from 2.4%). Fed funds rate to remain unchanged for the next two years at least.
Find out more in NAB’s US Economic Update – January 2021